Distribution Days
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Status
CORRECTION
Action
AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
VLO
WAIT
Buy Zone
$374–$393
Stop Loss
$354.60
02
PSX
WAIT
Buy Zone
$251–$264
Stop Loss
$237.83
03
MPC
WAIT
Buy Zone
$385–$405
Stop Loss
$361.03
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
CORRECTION
Distribution Days (5 wks)
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Rally Attempt
Day 29
O'Neil Says
“AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally”
Rally Day
29
Started
2026-07-31
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
ACCUMULATING
DIX at its 95th percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
above 0.45 · accumulation
1-year percentile
—
GEX
mid-range
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-09-10 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 3 Leaders · 4 Strong · 7 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
XOP
85
2
XBI
82
3
XLE
80
4
SMH
77
5
XLK
71
6
GDX
71
7
COPX
71
8
SLX
68
9
CARZ
67
10
AMLP
67
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
36
24
36
25
34
26
32
27
29
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 80 · Now
Score
9.4
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 80
Current
$385.43
52W High
$393.34
Buy Zone
$374–$393
Away
-3.1%
Entry
$385.43
Stop −8%
$354.60
Target +20%
$462.52
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $374–$393
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $377.72
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 25 VLO LMT 387.36
STOP LOSS: $354.60
Reverses below $377.72 = invalid. 2.0% below 52-week high.
2
PSX
Phillips 66
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 80 · Now
Score
9.3
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 80
Current
$258.51
52W High
$263.76
Buy Zone
$251–$264
Away
-3.1%
Entry
$258.51
Stop −8%
$237.83
Target +20%
$310.21
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $251–$264
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $253.34
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 38 PSX LMT 259.80
STOP LOSS: $237.83
Reverses below $253.34 = invalid. 2.0% below 52-week high.
3
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corpor
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 80 · Now
Score
9.2
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 80
Current
$392.42
52W High
$405.13
Buy Zone
$385–$405
Away
-1.9%
Entry
$392.42
Stop −8%
$361.03
Target +20%
$470.90
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $385–$405
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $384.57
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 25 MPC LMT 394.38
STOP LOSS: $361.03
Reverses below $384.57 = invalid. 3.1% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
56 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Market in Correction
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
VLO
9.4
PSX
9.3
MPC
9.2
MU
8.6
DELL
8.5
Watch list
Not yet actionable
TSM
HOLD · 8.5
COP
HOLD · 8.4
CVX
HOLD · 8.3
PR
HOLD · 8.2
OXY
WATCH · 8.2
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
REGN
PCVX
BMRN
CRC
NBIS
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
RED — cash only
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always