Distribution Days
9
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Action
SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
AMD
Buy now
Buy Zone
$607–$639
Stop Loss
$559.24
02
TSM
Alert $455
Buy Zone
$455–$479
Stop Loss
$418.65
03
SMCI
Watchlist
Buy Zone
$56–$59
Stop Loss
$51.37
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Distribution Days (5 wks)
9
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Rally Attempt
Day 0
O'Neil Says
“SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops”
Rally Day
0
Started
2026-09-25
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
ACCUMULATING
DIX at its 81st percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
above 0.45 · accumulation
1-year percentile
—
GEX
mid-range
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-09-28 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 2 Leaders · 9 Strong · 5 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
SMH
86
2
XLK
81
3
XLE
78
4
XOP
78
5
IGV
75
6
COPX
73
7
XBI
72
8
CARZ
72
9
XLV
70
10
OIH
70
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
38
24
34
25
33
26
31
27
29
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, I
Semiconductors · RS 86 · Now
Score
9.4
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 86
Current
$607.87
52W High
$639.00
Buy Zone
$607–$639
Away
-0.1%
Entry
$607.87
Stop −8%
$559.24
Target +20%
$729.44
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $607–$639
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $595.71
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 16 AMD LMT 610.91
STOP LOSS: $559.24
Reverses below $595.71 = invalid. 4.9% below 52-week high.
2
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manu
Semiconductors · RS 86 · Approaching
Score
9.4
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 86
Current
$452.88
52W High
$479.00
Buy Zone
$455–$479
Away
+0.5%
Entry
$455.05
Stop −8%
$418.65
Target +20%
$546.06
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $455–$479
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $445.95
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 21 TSM LMT 457.33
STOP LOSS: $418.65
Reverses below $445.95 = invalid. 5.5% below 52-week high.
3
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc
Computer Hardware · RS 81 · Far
Score
9.3
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
RS 81
Current
$41.78
52W High
$58.78
Buy Zone
$56–$59
Away
+33.7%
Entry
$55.84
Stop −8%
$51.37
Target +20%
$67.01
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $56–$59
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $54.72
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 179 SMCI LMT 56.12
STOP LOSS: $51.37
Reverses below $54.72 = invalid. 28.9% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
54 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Uptrend Under Pressure
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
AMD
9.4
SMCI
9.3
FTNT
9.1
DELL
9.1
PSX
8.7
Watch list
Not yet actionable
TSM
HOLD · 9.4
NVDA
HOLD · 9.2
AAPL
HOLD · 8.7
ANET
WATCH · 8.7
LRCX
HOLD · 8.4
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
NBIS
QCOM
ORCL
MGY
CDNS
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
YELLOW — selective
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always