Distribution Days
10
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Action
SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
TSM
Buy now
Buy Zone
$455–$479
Stop Loss
$419.69
02
AMD
Buy now
Buy Zone
$607–$639
Stop Loss
$562.82
03
NVDA
Buy now
Buy Zone
$225–$237
Stop Loss
$210.11
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Distribution Days (5 wks)
10
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Rally Attempt
Day 0
O'Neil Says
“SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops”
Rally Day
0
Started
2026-09-25
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
ACCUMULATING
DIX at its 85th percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
above 0.45 · accumulation
1-year percentile
—
GEX
mid-range
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-09-30 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 4 Leaders · 6 Strong · 3 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
SMH
89
2
XLK
85
3
XLE
81
4
XOP
81
5
CARZ
77
6
IGV
76
7
XBI
73
8
COPX
73
9
OIH
71
10
SLX
71
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
43
24
41
25
36
26
33
27
31
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manu
Semiconductors · RS 89 · Now
Score
9.8
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 89
Current
$456.19
52W High
$479.00
Buy Zone
$455–$479
Away
-0.2%
Entry
$456.19
Stop −8%
$419.69
Target +20%
$547.43
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $455–$479
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $447.07
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 21 TSM LMT 458.47
STOP LOSS: $419.69
Reverses below $447.07 = invalid. 4.8% below 52-week high.
2
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, I
Semiconductors · RS 89 · Now
Score
9.5
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 89
Current
$611.76
52W High
$639.00
Buy Zone
$607–$639
Away
-0.8%
Entry
$611.76
Stop −8%
$562.82
Target +20%
$734.11
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $607–$639
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $599.52
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 16 AMD LMT 614.82
STOP LOSS: $562.82
Reverses below $599.52 = invalid. 4.3% below 52-week high.
3
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors · RS 89 · Now
Score
9.2
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 89
Current
$228.38
52W High
$236.54
Buy Zone
$225–$237
Away
-1.6%
Entry
$228.38
Stop −8%
$210.11
Target +20%
$274.06
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $225–$237
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $223.81
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 43 NVDA LMT 229.52
STOP LOSS: $210.11
Reverses below $223.81 = invalid. 3.4% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
46 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Uptrend Under Pressure
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
AMD
9.5
DELL
9.2
ANET
9.2
PSX
9.1
MPC
9.0
Watch list
Not yet actionable
NVDA
HOLD · 9.2
LRCX
HOLD · 8.6
AAPL
WATCH · 8.1
HPE
HOLD · 8.0
AMAT
HOLD · 7.9
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
MGY
NBIS
ORCL
KLAC
MTDR
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
YELLOW — selective
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always