Distribution Days
7
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Action
SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
MPC
Buy now
Buy Zone
$454–$478
Stop Loss
$438.82
02
VLO
Buy now
Buy Zone
$434–$457
Stop Loss
$419.94
03
NVDA
Alert $231
Buy Zone
$231–$243
Stop Loss
$212.71
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Distribution Days (5 wks)
7
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Rally Attempt
Day 9
O'Neil Says
“SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops”
Rally Day
9
Started
2026-10-01
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
NEUTRAL
DIX at its 52nd percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
above 0.45 · accumulation
1-year percentile
—
GEX
high · moves dampened
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-10-13 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 5 Leaders · 1 Strong · 3 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
XOP
87
2
XLE
85
3
XLK
83
4
SMH
83
5
IGV
80
6
CARZ
70
7
XLV
67
8
OIH
66
9
COPX
66
10
GDX
65
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
41
24
41
25
39
26
25
27
24
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corpor
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 85 · Now
Score
9.6
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 85
Current
$476.98
52W High
$477.64
Buy Zone
$454–$478
Away
-4.9%
Entry
$476.98
Stop −8%
$438.82
Target +20%
$572.38
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $454–$478
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $467.44
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 20 MPC LMT 479.36
STOP LOSS: $438.82
Reverses below $467.44 = invalid. 0.1% below 52-week high.
2
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 85 · Now
Score
9.4
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 85
Current
$456.46
52W High
$457.19
Buy Zone
$434–$457
Away
-4.8%
Entry
$456.46
Stop −8%
$419.94
Target +20%
$547.75
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $434–$457
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $447.33
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 21 VLO LMT 458.74
STOP LOSS: $419.94
Reverses below $447.33 = invalid. 0.2% below 52-week high.
3
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors · RS 83 · Approaching
Score
9.3
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 83
Current
$228.52
52W High
$243.37
Buy Zone
$231–$243
Away
+1.2%
Entry
$231.20
Stop −8%
$212.71
Target +20%
$277.44
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $231–$243
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $226.58
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 43 NVDA LMT 232.36
STOP LOSS: $212.71
Reverses below $226.58 = invalid. 6.1% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
54 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Uptrend Under Pressure
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
MPC
9.6
MU
9.2
XOM
9.1
AMD
9.1
SMCI
9.0
Watch list
Not yet actionable
NVDA
HOLD · 9.3
DELL
WATCH · 8.9
OXY
HOLD · 8.7
DVN
HOLD · 8.4
AAPL
WATCH · 8.3
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
ORCL
MGY
NBIS
QCOM
CRC
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
YELLOW — selective
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always