Distribution Days
7
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Action
SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
MPC
Buy now
Buy Zone
$461–$485
Stop Loss
$438.77
02
VLO
Buy now
Buy Zone
$438–$462
Stop Loss
$408.54
03
XOM
Buy now
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Stop Loss
$160.71
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
UPTREND UNDER PRESSURE
Distribution Days (5 wks)
7
Market Trend
UPTREND
Can Buy?
YES
Rally Attempt
Day 11
O'Neil Says
“SELECTIVE BUY: Uptrend under pressure but above MA200 - buy only top leaders, tighten stops”
Rally Day
11
Started
2026-10-01
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
NOT ACCUMULATING
DIX at its 5th percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
0.40–0.45 · neutral zone
1-year percentile
low · dark pools not accumulating
GEX
mid-range
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-10-15 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
DIX sits near its 1-year low — dark pools show no accumulation. No dark-pool confluence for new longs; treat strength with caution.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 2 Leaders · 4 Strong · 4 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
XOP
85
2
XLE
84
3
IGV
78
4
XLK
77
5
SMH
75
6
XLV
73
7
XBI
64
8
CARZ
63
9
GDX
62
10
ESPO
62
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
43
24
37
25
29
26
26
27
26
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corpor
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.6
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$476.92
52W High
$485.22
Buy Zone
$461–$485
Away
-3.3%
Entry
$476.92
Stop −8%
$438.77
Target +20%
$572.30
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $461–$485
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $467.38
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 20 MPC LMT 479.30
STOP LOSS: $438.77
Reverses below $467.38 = invalid. 1.7% below 52-week high.
2
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.2
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$444.06
52W High
$461.52
Buy Zone
$438–$462
Away
-1.3%
Entry
$444.06
Stop −8%
$408.54
Target +20%
$532.87
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $438–$462
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $435.18
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 22 VLO LMT 446.28
STOP LOSS: $408.54
Reverses below $435.18 = invalid. 3.8% below 52-week high.
3
XOM
ExxonMobil Holdings Corpo
Oil & Gas Integrated · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.1
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$174.68
52W High
$178.69
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Away
-2.8%
Entry
$174.68
Stop −8%
$160.71
Target +20%
$209.62
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $170–$179
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $171.19
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 57 XOM LMT 175.55
STOP LOSS: $160.71
Reverses below $171.19 = invalid. 2.2% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
54 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Uptrend Under Pressure
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
MPC
9.6
MU
8.7
COP
8.5
AMD
8.5
SMCI
8.2
Watch list
Not yet actionable
OXY
HOLD · 8.5
CRM
HOLD · 8.4
SM
WATCH · 8.2
DELL
HOLD · 8.2
ANET
HOLD · 8.1
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
MTDR
MGY
ORCL
LITE
CRC
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
YELLOW — selective
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always