Distribution Days
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Status
CORRECTION
Action
AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
MPC
WAIT
Buy Zone
$461–$485
Stop Loss
$439.82
02
VLO
WAIT
Buy Zone
$438–$462
Stop Loss
$409.13
03
XOM
WAIT
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Stop Loss
$164.66
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
CORRECTION
Distribution Days (5 wks)
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Rally Attempt
Day 12
O'Neil Says
“AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally”
Rally Day
12
Started
2026-10-01
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
NEUTRAL
DIX at its 36th percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
0.40–0.45 · neutral zone
1-year percentile
—
GEX
low · moves amplified
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-10-16 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 2 Leaders · 3 Strong · 4 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
XOP
87
2
XLE
86
3
XLV
73
4
IGV
72
5
XLK
71
6
SMH
67
7
XLP
63
8
ESPO
61
9
AMLP
57
10
SLX
57
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
40
24
39
25
26
26
23
27
23
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corpor
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 86 · Now
Score
9.6
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 86
Current
$478.07
52W High
$485.22
Buy Zone
$461–$485
Away
-3.6%
Entry
$478.07
Stop −8%
$439.82
Target +20%
$573.68
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $461–$485
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $468.51
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 20 MPC LMT 480.46
STOP LOSS: $439.82
Reverses below $468.51 = invalid. 1.5% below 52-week high.
2
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 86 · Now
Score
9.2
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 86
Current
$444.71
52W High
$461.52
Buy Zone
$438–$462
Away
-1.4%
Entry
$444.71
Stop −8%
$409.13
Target +20%
$533.65
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $438–$462
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $435.82
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 22 VLO LMT 446.93
STOP LOSS: $409.13
Reverses below $435.82 = invalid. 3.6% below 52-week high.
3
XOM
ExxonMobil Holdings Corpo
Oil & Gas Integrated · RS 86 · Now
Score
9.1
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 86
Current
$178.98
52W High
$179.16
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Away
-4.9%
Entry
$178.98
Stop −8%
$164.66
Target +20%
$214.78
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $170–$179
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $175.40
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 55 XOM LMT 179.87
STOP LOSS: $164.66
Reverses below $175.40 = invalid. 0.1% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
59 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Market in Correction
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
MPC
9.6
COP
9.1
Watch list
Not yet actionable
EOG
HOLD · 8.8
OXY
HOLD · 8.8
DVN
HOLD · 8.4
SM
WATCH · 8.4
PR
WATCH · 8.0
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
HPE
MGY
ORCL
UNH
PFE
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
RED — cash only
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always