Distribution Days
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Status
CORRECTION
Action
AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally
Priority Setups
Buy zones & stops — armed, not triggered
01
MPC
WAIT
Buy Zone
$469–$494
Stop Loss
$435.79
02
XOM
WAIT
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Stop Loss
$164.02
03
PSX
WAIT
Buy Zone
$284–$299
Stop Loss
$267.31
How entry works: “NOW” = within 5% of 52-week high (already breaking out, buy at market). “WAIT” = needs to reach its 52-week high first — set an alert at that price.
Market Health Check
The General — is it safe to be long?
Market Status
CORRECTION
Distribution Days (5 wks)
8
Market Trend
PULLBACK
Can Buy?
NO
Rally Attempt
Day 13
O'Neil Says
“AVOID: Market in correction (8 distribution days, below the 50-day MA) - preserve capital, wait for rally”
Rally Day
13
Started
2026-10-01
Dark-Pool Regime
Is smart money accumulating?
NEUTRAL
DIX at its 42nd percentile of the past year
DIX (5-day SMA)
0.40–0.45 · neutral zone
1-year percentile
—
GEX
mid-range
Mechanical regime
carried-forward (3-day persistence)
Institutional accumulation read from dark-pool volume (SqueezeMetrics DIX). Context only — not a buy/sell signal; never overrides the Market Health Check, it adds confluence only.
as of 2026-10-19 · source: SqueezeMetrics (free public CSV)
Confluence
Dark-pool signal is mixed — defer to the Market Health Check.
Sector Heatmap
Where the money is flowing
Breadth: 2 Leaders · 4 Strong · 4 Laggards
Top 10 — best for buying
1
XOP
85
2
XLE
84
3
IGV
78
4
XLK
74
5
XLV
74
6
SMH
70
7
ESPO
64
8
XLP
61
9
XBI
60
10
SLX
58
Bottom 5 — avoid
23
41
24
34
25
27
26
24
27
24
“37–50% of a stock's move comes from its industry group.”
The AI Focus List
Top 10 opportunities, ranked
Top 3 Deep Dive
The trade plan, ticket-ready
1
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corpor
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.6
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$473.69
52W High
$493.69
Buy Zone
$469–$494
Away
-1.0%
Entry
$473.69
Stop −8%
$435.79
Target +20%
$568.43
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $469–$494
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $464.22
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 21 MPC LMT 476.06
STOP LOSS: $435.79
Reverses below $464.22 = invalid. 4.1% below 52-week high.
2
XOM
ExxonMobil Holdings Corpo
Oil & Gas Integrated · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.1
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$178.28
52W High
$179.30
Buy Zone
$170–$179
Away
-4.5%
Entry
$178.28
Stop −8%
$164.02
Target +20%
$213.94
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $170–$179
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $174.71
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 56 XOM LMT 179.17
STOP LOSS: $164.02
Reverses below $174.71 = invalid. 0.6% below 52-week high.
3
PSX
Phillips 66
Oil & Gas Refining & · RS 84 · Now
Score
9.1
Leading Sector
Earnings Accelerating
Near Breakout
RS 84
Current
$290.55
52W High
$299.39
Buy Zone
$284–$299
Away
-2.1%
Entry
$290.55
Stop −8%
$267.31
Target +20%
$348.66
Buy trigger — all must be true
1
Price enters the buy zone $284–$299
2
Volume 50%+ above average on the move
3
Market turns GREEN or YELLOW
Do not buy if
×
Price enters zone but reverses below $284.74
×
Volume is weak / unconfirmed
×
Market turns RED
Order ticket
BUY 34 PSX LMT 292.00
STOP LOSS: $267.31
Reverses below $284.74 = invalid. 3.0% below 52-week high.
Watchlist Scan
59 stocks, scored on all 7 CAN SLIM tests
EA Earnings accel
NH Near 52W high
Charts — Top Picks
Daily candles · EMA 20/50/150 · volume · MACD · RSI
Action Summary
Market in Correction
Buy candidates
Waiting for market confirmation
Watch list
Not yet actionable
COP
HOLD · 8.8
OXY
HOLD · 8.7
EOG
HOLD · 8.6
DVN
HOLD · 8.4
CRM
HOLD · 8.4
Avoid
Failing CAN SLIM tests
HPE
MGY
ORCL
UNH
AVGO
O'Neil's Daily Checklist
Check market status before any trades
Focus only on stocks in the Top 40 industry groups
Wait for breakouts on 40%+ above-average volume
Set an 8% stop loss on any new position
Take partial profits at 20–25% gains
Morning Action Plan
1
Check Market
RED — cash only
2
Review Charts
Open TradingView for top picks
3
Set Alerts
Price alerts at breakout levels
4
Position Size
Max 2 positions, $50K each
5
Set Stops
−8% from entry, always